Early trading: stock index declines widened, Dow fell more than 500 points

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   Beijing time on the evening of the 26th, US stocks fell in early trading Expanding, the Dow fell more than 500 points. The global market suffered selling pressure, European and American stock markets fell, and oil prices plummeted. The data shows that the epidemic situation in the US and Europe has worsened. There is little hope of reaching a fiscal stimulus agreement before the election. The market is worried that the tightening of epidemic prevention measures by countries will lead to further shrinking of corporate business and global economic activities.

Early trading: stock index declines widened, Dow fell more than 500 points

  The Dow Index fell 536.33 points, or 1.89%, reported 27799.24 points; the Nasdaq fell 88.75 points, or 0.77%, reported 11459.54 points; the S&P 500 index fell 49.21 points, or 1.42%, reported 3416.18 points.

   Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Raytheon Technology stock prices are under pressure. Due to the issue of arms sales to Taiwan, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced sanctions against these companies.

  Affected by the news of the epidemic, the aviation and cruise sectors generally declined.

   AstraZeneca’s stock price rose. According to reports, the new crown vaccine developed by the company and the University of Oxford has successfully caused a strong immune response in the elderly.

   UBS economist Paul Donovan said in a research report on Monday: “The market is always paying attention to economic news about the impact of the coronavirus epidemic on the economy. After France, Italy and Spain have adopted strict Curfew measures. For bars and restaurants, this is obviously bad news, but for supermarkets and the home entertainment industry, it is more beneficial.”    JP Morgan Chase Private Bank Investment Strategy Director David Stubbs said: ” The current situation of the epidemic in Europe and the United States is indeed worrying, and at the same time, the expectation of short-term epidemic lockdown during the winter period may also be included. But investors knew from the beginning that the current economic recovery will stop and go like this. Because until the health is completely resolved After the crisis, we can truly enter a new economic cycle.”

   The number of newly diagnosed cases in the United States and Europe has set a record. Experts say that the number of daily cases will exceed 100,000.

  The number of newly diagnosed new coronary pneumonia cases hit record highs in succession. The number of new cases on Friday and Saturday exceeded 80,000. Western and Midwestern states were hit hardest by the epidemic.

   According to statistics from Johns Hopkins University in the United States, as of 8:24 am on October 26, Beijing time, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the United States exceeded 8.63 million, reaching 8,632,200 deaths The number of cases is 225,212.

  Data shows that there were more than 94,000 new confirmed cases in the United States on the 24th, setting a record for the number of new cases in a single day since the outbreak in the United States. The number of newly confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the United States on the 23rd reached 83,757 in a single day. Previously, the highest number of new cases in a single day in the United States was 77,362 reported on July 16.

   After the United States set a new high of more than 83,000 new confirmed cases in a single day on the 23rd, on the 24th local time, the director of the Center for Infectious Diseases and Policy Research at the University of Minnesota warned in an interview with the media that the United States The number of newly confirmed cases in a single day may soon reach six figures, which means it will exceed the 100,000 mark.

   Michael Osterholm, Director of the Center for Infectious Diseases and Policy Research at the University of Minnesota, said: “People are tired of responding to the new crown virus, but the new crown virus continues to spread. In winter, the new crown virus will spread more easily among people. The number of new confirmed cases in a single day in the United States will soon reach six figures, and the number of deaths will rise sharply in the next three to four weeks.”

  Scott Gottlieb, former director of the US Food and Drug Administration, also said in an interview with the media that the number of new deaths in a single day in the United States in the next few months may be “shocking.”

   The new confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in France on Sunday set a record. The country reported more than 52,000 positive cases within 24 hours. Beginning Friday, two-thirds of France has implemented the previously announced curfew.

   The number of new cases in Italy last week hit a record high. Italy has imposed the strictest restrictions on the public since the company ended its blockade, including closing all bars and restaurants at 6 pm. The country is facing a severe epidemic with an explosive increase in the number of infections, with close to 20,000 new cases per day.

  In Spain, the government has declared a state of emergency throughout the country on Sunday, giving government departments greater powers to implement social distancing and emergency medical and health policies; the country declared a state of emergency in March this year. Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez said that a national curfew will be implemented immediately from 11 pm to 6 am, after 10 of the country’s 17 regions have requested.

   The U.S. election has entered the countdown stage. President Trump traveled to New Hampshire on Sunday to attend the rally. He pointed out that the epidemic in the United States is being reversed. Even without the new crown pneumonia vaccine, the situation will be reversed and the epidemic will pass.

   Trump pointed out at the meeting that the situation is turning around and the new crown pneumonia epidemic is ending. As for the number of domestic diagnoses to pick up again, Trump blamed testing. He also criticized his opponent and the Democratic presidential candidate Biden’s anti-epidemic proposals that would harm the economic recovery and emphasized that the United States will never become a socialist country and that this war must be ended. Many of the supporters present did not wear masks and did not maintain social distancing.

  There is little hope for a new round of fiscal stimulus

   As the epidemic worsens, many investors hope for a strong fiscal stimulus, but signed in Washington before the November 3 election The hopes of a new coronavirus aid bill are getting smaller every day.

   U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi and White House Chief of Staff Meadows successively accepted media interviews on Sunday, accusing each other of “changing orders and changing the regulations” on stimulating legislation, which makes the hope of reaching an agreement even thinner.

   Pelosi said that it is still possible to reach an agreement this week. She has sent Finance Minister Mnuchin the latest proposal on the rescue plan over the weekend and hopes to get an answer on Monday. Pelosi said that regardless of the outcome of the general election, she will still strive to reach an agreement after the November 3 election, but she hopes that a new round of federal financial assistance can be reached as soon as possible.

   Pelosi has been negotiating with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin recently, trying to reach an agreement that may be worth about 2 trillion US dollars before the presidential and congressional elections.

   Pelosi said on Sunday that Mnuchin is reviewing the latest plan text and she is waiting for a formal agreement with the White House.

   However, White House Chief of Staff Meadows said in a media interview on the same day that he has not yet seen the text of the proposed bill. Meadows said: “We are still proposing one proposal after another, and Pelosi is constantly changing.”

   He added that he has maintained contact with Senate Republicans and called the Senate majority party. Leader McConnell has agreed to bring any agreement into the Senate, “and pass it.”

   National Australia Bank foreign exchange analyst Ray Attrill said: “The hope of introducing a fiscal agreement before the general election fades and the epidemic The news and the possible implementation of stricter blockades, these factors combined are enough to hurt the stock market.”

  U.S. election countdown

   This week is the last week before the U.S. presidential election. It has now entered the ninth day countdown. Statistics show that the number of voters who voted early in the United States will exceed 65 million, twice the number of voters in the 2016 election.

   According to the latest polls, Biden currently leads Trump by 8% in the United States. Among voters who may vote, 51% voted Biden and 43% supported Trump.

   As far as the market is concerned, the US presidential election still affects traders. The market is digesting the possibility of Biden’s victory and the Democratic Party’s control of Congress, which will increase the possibility of larger government spending.

   NatWest Markets analyst team wrote in the report: “The Democratic Party’s victory is our basic forecast. We have raised the probability of this estimate from 40% to a little more than 50%. Biden’s expectation of winning has been raised from 65% to 75%. Under our basic scenario forecast, we expect the U.S. Treasury yield curve to steepen and the U.S. dollar may weaken.”

   focus stocks

   Software giant SAP’s third-quarter revenue fell 4% year-on-year, and the full-year performance guidance was lowered.

   It is reported that the European antitrust agency will clarify the transaction between Fiat Chrysler Automobile Group and PSA Group.

   Hasbro’s third-quarter net revenue was US$1.78 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13%.

   Tesla announced the initiative to recall the front suspension and rear linkage components of some ModelS and ModelX vehicles in China. According to a report from the US Securities and Exchange Commission, Tesla said its capital expenditures for the next two fiscal years are expected to increase to US$4.5 billion and US$6 billion, respectively.

   Google pays 8-12 billion U.S. dollars to Apple every year to make its search engine a preselected option for Apple devices.

  Haina International raised the AMD target price from US$85 to US$95.

   Wade Bush raised his Twitter target price from US$37.5 to US$47.

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